Ben Shelton and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard will clash against each other in the final of the Swiss Indoors Basel for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 3:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ben Shelton who should win in 3 sets.

(image) As per the initial odds, Ben Shelton is the pick to win this match.
Ben Shelton -> 1.48
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard -> 2.65

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Prediction and head to head Ben Shelton vs. Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

This will be the 2nd time that Ben Shelton and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Mpetshi (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they played each other, Mpetshi won 6-3 7-6(3) in the 1st round in London back in June 2024.

Ben Shelton

Ranked no. 23, Shelton got to the final after beating Tomas Martin Etcheverry 6-3 6-4, Stan Wawrinka 7-6(2) 7-5, Andrey Rublev 7-5 6-7(3) 6-4 and Arthur Fils 6-3 7-6(9).

In the semifinal, Ben had a good straight sets win against Fils (6-3 7-69). During the match, Shelton scored 65 points vs Fils’s 54. Shelton was very aggressive to blast 45 winners.

Talking about the service games, Shelton struck 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Ben Shelton was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 88% (45/51) of his 1st serve and 70% (7/10) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American broke Fils once after converting 50% of his break points (1/2).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Ben has conceded 1 set in this competition to win 53% of the points he played.

Shelton has a solid record in the last 4 years having won 65% of his matches (127-67). 7-2 on indoor hard courts in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Shelton has an aggregate38-8 record in the last 4 years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the year was winning the title in Houston where he beat Frances Tiafoe in the final 7-5 4-6 6-3.

Shelton has an overall 41-23 win-loss record in 2024, 7-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Basel

The American has never competed in this tournament before.

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Ranked no. 50, Giovanni reached the final after defeating James Duckworth 7-6(4) 6-3, Felix Auger-Aliassime 6-1 7-6(6), Denis Shapovalov 6-7(7) 6-3 7-6(3) and Holger Rune 7-6(6) 6-4.

In the semifinal, The French player had a good straight sets win against Rune (7-66 6-4). During the match Mpetshi and Rune scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 23 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. The French player was not very aggressive do strike just winners.

Talking about serving, Mpetshi was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of his first serves in, win 0% (/) of the points behind his 1st serve and 0% (/) on the 2nd serve.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Giovanni has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

His best result of the current season was winning the title the Nottingham Challenger where he overcame Matteo Martineau in the final 7-6(2) 6-4 and the Cuernavaca Challenger where he defeated Nicolas Mejia in the final 7-5 7-5 and the Acapulco Challenger where he overcame Adam Walton in the final 6-3 6-3 and in Lyon where he beat Tomas Martin Etcheverry in the final 6-4 1-6 7-6(7).

The French player has an overall 46-24 win-loss record in 2024, 11-6 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points
Shelton
Mpetshi

Match played
4
4

Tot Set
9
9

Tot Games
101
100

Pts
297-261
248-211

Total Points
558
459

Winners
180
127

%Winners
61%
51%

Both Shelton and Mpetshi played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Ben Shelton dropped 1 set, while Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Shelton and Mpetshi have played the same amount of sets 9. However, Shelton played 1 game more than Mpetshi. The American scored 180 winners (61% of the total points). On the other side, Giovanni made 127 winners (51%).

Serve Performance

Serve
Shelton
Mpetshi

Aces
38
70

Avg per match
9.5
17.5

1st in
222/297
155/231

%1st in
75%
67%

1st pts
180/222
127/155

%1st pts
81%
82%

2nd pts
51/75
50/76

%2nd pts
68%
66%

Shelton bagged 38 aces (9.5 per match). Mpetshi scored 70 aces (17.5 per match). Shelton won 81% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 68% of the points. On the other side, Mpetshi won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 66% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks
Shelton
Mpetshi

Won
6
4

Converted
6/7
4/14

% Converted
86%
29%

Conceded
12
3

Saved
12
3

% Saved
100%
100%

Times Broken
0
0

The American broke his opponents 6 times with a 86% conversion rate. Ben pretty effective on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 12 break points. Giovanni broke his opponents 4 times with a 29% conversion rate. The French player was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 3 break points.

Shelton

R1
Etcheverry
R2
Wawrinka
1/4
Rublev
1/2
Fils
Total

Score
6-3 6-4
7-62 7-5
7-5 6-73 6-4
6-3 7-69

Tot Set
2
2
3
2
9

Tot Games
19
25
35
22
101

pts
59-44
76-62
97-101
65-54
297-261

Total points
103
138
198
119
558

Winners
32
45
58
45
180

%Winners
54%
59%
60%
69%
61%

SERVE

Aces
8
9
13
8
38

Double Faults
0
1
2
2
5

1st in
38/52
54/73
79/111
51/61
222/297

% 1st in
73%
74%
71%
84%
75%

1st pts
32/38
45/54
58/79
45/51
180/222

% 1st pts
84%
83%
73%
88%
81%

2nd pts
9/14
13/19
22/32
7/10
51/75

% 2nd pts
64%
68%
69%
70%
68%

Breaks

Won
2
1
2
1
6

Converted
2/2
1/1
2/2
1/2
6/7

Converted %
100%
100%
100%
50%
86%

Conceded
1
5
6
0
12

Saved
1/1
5/5
6/6
0/0
12

Saved %
100%
100%
100%
–
75%

Times Broken
0
0
0
0
0

Mpetshi

R1
Duckworth
R2
Auger-Aliassime
1/4
Shapovalov
1/2
Rune
Total

Score
7-64 6-3
6-1 7-66
6-77 6-3 7-63
7-66 6-4

Tot Set
2
2
3
2
9

Tot Games
22
20
35
23
100

pts
73-60
67-50
108-101
–
248-211

Total points
133
117
209
0
459

Winners
37
32
58

127

%Winners
51%
48%
54%
0%
51%

SERVE

Aces
21
22
27
0
70

Double Faults
3
2
6

11

1st in
44/65
39/56
72/110
/
155/231

% 1st in
68%
70%
65%
0%
67%

1st pts
37/44
32/39
58/72
/
127/155

% 1st pts
84%
82%
81%
0%
82%

2nd pts
12/21
14/17
24/38
/
50/76

% 2nd pts
57%
82%
63%
0%
66%

Breaks

Won
1
2
1

4

Converted
1/4
2/7
1/3
/
4/14

Converted %
25%
29%
33%
0%
29%

Conceded
0
0
3

3

Saved
0/0
0/0
3/3
0/
3

Saved %
–
–
100%
–
25%

Times Broken
0
0
0

0

Upcoming matches in the draw