Hailey Baptiste and Kyoka Okamura will square off in the 1st round of the Toray Pan Pacific Open for the 3rd time in their career. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Hailey Baptiste who should win in 2 sets.

(image) As per the initial odds, Hailey Baptiste is the pick to win this match.
Hailey Baptiste -> 1.129
Kyoka Okamura -> 5.95

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Prediction and head to head Hailey Baptiste vs. Kyoka Okamura

This will be the 3rd time that Hailey Baptiste and Kyoka Okamura clash against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Baptiste (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Baptiste won 6-3 7-5 in the qualifications in Tokyo back in October 2024.

Hailey Baptiste

Ranked no. 80 (career-high), Hailey got to the 1st round after beating Ena Koike 6-4 6-2 and Kyoka Okamura 6-3 7-5.

In the qualifications, Hailey had a good straight sets win against Okamura (6-3 7-5). During the match, Baptiste scored 77 points vs Okamura’s 61. The American was quite aggressive to blast 35 winners.

Regarding the service games, Baptiste managed to score 4 aces and she was very steady in conceding no double faults. Hailey Baptiste lost the serve once and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Baptiste put 69% of her first serves in, winning 70% (35/50) of the points behind her 1st serve and 64% (14/22) on the 2nd serve. Hailey broke Okamura 3 times after converting 50% of her break points (3/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Hailey started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t lost yet a set in this event to conquer 57% of the points she played.

Baptiste has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 60% of her matches (197-133). 29-15 on hard in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Baptiste has an overall103-72 match record in the last 9 years on hard.

Hailey’s best result of the year was reaching the final in the W50 Morelia.

Baptiste has a compiled 43-26 win-loss record in 2024, 29-15 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Tokyo

Hailey has never competed in this tournament before.

Kyoka Okamura

Ranked no. 271, Okamura reached the 1st round after defeating Shiho Akita 6-4 6-0.

Okamura’s best result of the season was reaching the final in the W35 Taipei and the W35 Nakhon Si Thammarat.

Okamura has a compiled 37-28 win-loss record in 2024, 34-26 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Tokyo

Previously, her best result was reaching the qualifications in 2022. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points
Baptiste
Okamura

Match played
2
1

Tot Set
4
2

Tot Games
39
16

Pts
137-102
67-41

Total Points
239
108

Winners
55
23

%Winners
40%
34%

Baptiste played 2 matches while Okamura competed in 1 match. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Baptiste has played 2 sets more than Okamura (4 vs 2). Therefore, Baptiste played 23 games more than Okamura. Hailey scored 55 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The Japanese fired 23 winners (34%).

Serve Performance

Serve
Baptiste
Okamura

Aces
11
3

Avg per match
5.5
3

1st in
75/115
27/50

%1st in
65%
54%

1st pts
55/75
23/27

%1st pts
73%
85%

2nd pts
30/40
14/23

%2nd pts
75%
61%

Baptiste recorded 11 aces (5.5 per match). Okamura managed to score 3 aces . Baptiste won 73% points on her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 75% of the points. On the other side, Okamura won 85% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 61% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks
Baptiste
Okamura

Won
6
4

Converted
6/13
4/9

% Converted
46%
44%

Conceded
5
4

Saved
4
4

% Saved
80%
100%

Times Broken
1
0

Hailey broke her opponents 6 times with a 46% conversion rate. Baptiste conceded her serve once and she saved 80% of the break points that she conceded. Kyoka broke her opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. Kyoka was rock solid on her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 4 break points.

Baptiste

Q1
Koike
Q3
Okamura
Total

Score
6-4 6-2
6-3 7-5

Tot Set
2
2
4

Tot Games
18
21
39

pts
60-41
77-61
137-102

Total points
101
138
239

Winners
20
35
55

%Winners
33%
45%
40%

SERVE

Aces
7
4
11

Double Faults
0
0
0

1st in
25/43
50/72
75/115

% 1st in
58%
69%
65%

1st pts
20/25
35/50
55/75

% 1st pts
80%
70%
73%

2nd pts
16/18
14/22
30/40

% 2nd pts
89%
64%
75%

Breaks

Won
3
3
6

Converted
3/7
3/6
6/13

Converted %
43%
50%
46%

Conceded
0
5
5

Saved
0/0
4/5
4

Saved %
–
80%
40%

Times Broken
0
1
1

Okamura

Q1
Akita
Q3
Baptiste
Total

Score
6-4 6-0
6-3 7-5

Tot Set
2
2
4

Tot Games
16
21
37

pts
67-41
–
67-41

Total points
108
0
108

Winners
23

23

%Winners
34%
0%
34%

SERVE

Aces
3
0
3

Double Faults
2

2

1st in
27/50
/
27/50

% 1st in
54%
0%
54%

1st pts
23/27
/
23/27

% 1st pts
85%
0%
85%

2nd pts
14/23
/
14/23

% 2nd pts
61%
0%
61%

Breaks

Won
4

4

Converted
4/9
/
4/9

Converted %
44%
0%
44%

Conceded
4

4

Saved
4/4
0/
4

Saved %
100%
–
50%

Times Broken
0

0

Tennis Scores in Tokyo

Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu – Mei YamaguchiYamaguchi (7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Zeynep SonmezSonmez – Magdalena FrechFrech (1-6 6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich (5-7 6-2 5-2 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
Varvara GrachevaGracheva – Mai HontamaHontama (6-1 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
Viktoriya TomovaTomova – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (7-63 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Sofia Kenin/Bethanie Mattek-SandsKenin/Bethanie Mattek-Sands – Xinyu Wang/Saisai ZhengWang/Saisai Zheng (7-5 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Fernando YamacitaYamacita – Javier NaserNaser (1-6 6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Harri HeliovaaraHeliovaara – Kevin KaczynskiKaczynski (6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
Jelle SelsSels – Flemming PetersPeters (6-0 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Stephan GerritsenGerritsen – Tillmann ErdboriesErdbories (5-7 7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Alexander ZhurbinZhurbin – Tim Van Der HorstVan Der Horst (6-1 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Patrik Niklas-SalminenNiklas-Salminen – Valentin GuentherGuenther (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Gabriel DecampsDecamps – Daniil ZarichanskyyZarichanskyy (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Sidane PontjodikromoPontjodikromo – Christian HirschmuellerHirschmueller (6-0 4-2 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Daniel De JongeDe Jonge (7-5 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
Gijs BrouwerBrouwer – Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues AlvesMeligeni Rodrigues Alves (7-5 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
Denys KlokKlok – Stephan FransenFransen (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Ryan NijboerNijboer – Guy Den HeijerDen Heijer (7-5 3-1 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
Orlando LuzLuz – Niels LootsmaLootsma (1-6 6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

Xin Yu WangYu Wang – Sofia KeninKenin (0-3) – H2H and prediction
Nao HibinoHibino – Clara TausonTauson (1-1) – H2H and prediction
Elisabetta CocciarettoCocciaretto – Mccartney KesslerKessler (1-0) – H2H and prediction
Katie BoulterBoulter – Priscilla HonHon (0-3) – H2H and prediction
Kyoka OkamuraOkamura – Hailey BaptisteBaptiste (0-2) – H2H and prediction
Varvara GrachevaGracheva – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (0-1) – H2H and prediction
Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Viktoriya TomovaTomova (2-2) – H2H and prediction
Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (1-1) – H2H and prediction