Jessica Pegula and Paula Badosa will square off in the 4th round of the China Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 11:00 am on LOTUS. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 3 sets.
(image) As per the initial odds, Jessica Pegula is the pick to win this match.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.66
Paula Badosa -> 2.22
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Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Paula Badosa
This will be the 4th time that Jessica Pegula and Paula Badosa play each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Pegula (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Pegula won 6-2 3-6 6-3 in the semifinal in Cincinnati back in August 2024.
Highlights Jessica Pegula vs Paula Badosa – Cincinnati 18-August-2024
Jessica Pegula
38 – 12win/loss
3
3
WWLWWWWWWL
Year
Total
Hard
Clay
I.hard
Grass
Carpet
2024
38-12
28-7
4-2
0-0
6-3
0-0
2023
59-18
45-12
8-4
0-0
6-2
0-0
2022
42-21
28-15
11-4
1-1
2-1
0-0
2021
39-19
29-12
6-4
0-0
4-3
0-0
2020
17-9
16-7
0-1
1-1
0-0
0-0
Ranked no. 3 (career-high), Jessica reached the 4th round after defeating Diane Parry 6-1 7-6(4) and Veronika Kudermetova 6-7(9) 6-1 6-2.
In the 3rd round against Kudermetova, Pegula recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-79 6-1 6-2). During the match, Pegula scored 106 points vs Kudermetova’s 84. Pegula was exceptionally aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Regarding the service games, Pegula scored 5 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Jessica Pegula lost the serve 3 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Pegula put 63% of her first serves in, winning 70% (42/60) of the points behind her 1st serve and 51% (18/35) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Kudermetova 7 times after converting 78% of her break points (7/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American has surrendered 1 set in this event to conquer 56% of the points she played.
Pegula has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 65% of her matches (336-177). 28-7 on hard in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Pegula has an aggregate 214-97 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Berlin where she defeated Anna Kalinskaya in the final 6-7(0) 6-4 7-6(3) and in Toronto where she defeated Amanda Anisimova in the final 6-3 2-6 6-1.
The American has a compiled 38-12 win-loss record in 2024, 28-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Beijing
Paula Badosa
32 – 16win/loss
19
2
WWLWWWWLWW
Year
Total
Hard
Clay
I.hard
Grass
Carpet
2024
32-16
21-9
6-5
0-0
5-2
0-0
2023
18-9
6-4
11-4
0-0
1-1
0-0
2022
32-22
20-13
8-5
1-2
3-2
0-0
2021
43-17
19-9
17-3
4-3
3-2
0-0
2020
14-9
7-6
6-2
1-1
0-0
0-0
Ranked no. 19, Paula reached the 4th round after beating Unknown Player bye, Viktoriya Tomova 6-3 6-2 and Rebecca Sramkova 7-5 7-5.
In the 3rd round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Sramkova (7-5 7-5). During the match Badosa scored 80 points vs Sramkova’s 72. Paula was pretty aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about serving, Badosa recorded 3 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Paula Badosa lost the serve 3 times and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Badosa put 67% of her first serves in, winning 59% (30/51) of the points behind her 1st serve and 60% (15/25) on the 2nd serve. Paula broke Sramkova 5 times after converting 42% of her break points (5/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Paula hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
Her best result of the year was winning the title in Washington where she beat Marie Bouzkova in the final 6-1 4-6 6-4.
Paula has a composed 32-16 win-loss record in 2024, 21-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Beijing
Previously, her best result was reaching the qualifications in 2019. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
4h:12
3h:13
2h:39
1h:49
2
2
48
41
5
4
187
147
93.5
73.5
73
53
36.5
26.5
39%
36%
10
5
5
2.5
9
9
4.5
4.5
73/106
53/84
69%
63%
29/51
32/55
57%
58%
11/20
9/21
5.5/10
4.5/10.5
55%
43%
11
16
5.5
8
4
4
2
2
7
12
Matches, sets, games and points
Points
Pegula
Badosa
Match played
2
2
Tot Set
5
4
Tot Games
48
41
Pts
187-148
147-119
Total Points
335
266
Winners
73
53
%Winners
39%
36%
Both Pegula and Badosa played 2 matches. At the moment, Jessica Pegula lost 1 set while Paula Badosa hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Pegula has played 1 set more than Badosa (5 vs 4). Therefore, Pegula played 7 games more than Badosa. Jessica scored 73 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Badosa bagged 53 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
Serve
Pegula
Badosa
Aces
10
5
Avg per match
5
2.5
1st in
106/157
84/139
%1st in
68%
60%
1st pts
73/106
53/84
%1st pts
69%
63%
2nd pts
29/51
32/55
%2nd pts
57%
58%
Pegula made 10 aces (5 per match). Badosa scored 5 aces (2.5 per match). Pegula won 69% points on her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Badosa won 63% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks
Pegula
Badosa
Won
11
9
Converted
11/20
9/21
% Converted
55%
43%
Conceded
11
16
Saved
7
12
% Saved
64%
75%
Times Broken
4
4
Jessica broke her opponents 11 times with a 55% conversion rate. Jessica surrendered her serve 4 times and she saved 64% of the break points that she conceded. Paula broke her opponents 9 times with a 43% conversion rate. Paula conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded.
Pegula
R2
Parry
R3
Kudermetova
Total
Score
6-1 7-64
6-79 6-1 6-2
Tot Set
2
3
5
Tot Games
20
28
48
pts
81-64
106-84
187-148
Total points
145
190
335
Winners
31
42
73
%Winners
38%
40%
39%
SERVE
Aces
5
5
10
Double Faults
3
6
9
1st in
46/62
60/95
106/157
% 1st in
74%
63%
68%
1st pts
31/46
42/60
73/106
% 1st pts
67%
70%
69%
2nd pts
11/16
18/35
29/51
% 2nd pts
69%
51%
57%
Breaks
Won
4
7
11
Converted
4/11
7/9
11/20
Converted %
36%
78%
55%
Conceded
4
7
11
Saved
3/4
4/7
7
Saved %
75%
57%
66%
Times Broken
1
3
4
Badosa
R2
Tomova
R3
Sramkova
Total
Score
6-3 6-2
7-5 7-5
Tot Set
2
2
4
Tot Games
17
24
41
pts
67-47
80-72
147-119
Total points
114
152
266
Winners
23
30
53
%Winners
34%
38%
36%
SERVE
Aces
2
3
5
Double Faults
4
5
9
1st in
33/63
51/76
84/139
% 1st in
52%
67%
60%
1st pts
23/33
30/51
53/84
% 1st pts
70%
59%
63%
2nd pts
17/30
15/25
32/55
% 2nd pts
57%
60%
58%
Breaks
Won
4
5
9
Converted
4/9
5/12
9/21
Converted %
44%
42%
43%
Conceded
6
10
16
Saved
5/6
7/10
12
Saved %
83%
70%
77%
Times Broken
1
3
4
Head 2 Head
(image)
3
3
4h:12Played
2Hard0
<!–
3Clay2
3I.hard2
3Grass2
–>
1Clay0
<!–
3Clay2
3I.hard2
3Grass2
–>
19
2
3h:13Played
(image)
WWLWWWWWWL
(image)
WWLWWWWLWW
2023
2022
Hard
Clay
Grass
Tennis Scores in Beijing
Naomi OsakaOsaka – Katie VolynetsVolynets (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
Madison KeysKeys – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Peyton StearnsStearns (3-6 6-3 3-1 ret.) – See score progression
Magda LinetteLinette – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Ashlyn KruegerKrueger (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
Cristina BucsaBucsa – Elise MertensMertens (4-6 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Jaqueline CristianCristian (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
Paula BadosaBadosa – Rebecca SramkovaSramkova (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
Magdalena FrechFrech – Diana ShnaiderShnaider (0-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
Jessica PegulaPegula – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (6-79 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
Shuai ZhangZhang – Greetje MinnenMinnen (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
Yuliia StarodubtsevaStarodubtseva – Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
Cori GauffGauff – Katie BoulterBoulter (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Ashlyn KruegerKrueger (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
Madison KeysKeys – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
Cristina BucsaBucsa – Elise MertensMertens (4-6 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Jaqueline CristianCristian (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
Magda LinetteLinette – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Peyton StearnsStearns (3-6 6-3 3-1 ret.) – See score progression
Naomi OsakaOsaka – Katie VolynetsVolynets (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (0-4) – H2H and prediction
Nadia PodoroskaPodoroska – Qinwen ZhengZheng (0-1) – H2H and prediction
Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Madison KeysKeys (3-1) – H2H and prediction
Cristina BucsaBucsa – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
Yulia StarodubtsewaStarodubtsewa – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (0-0) – H2H and prediction
Naomi OsakaOsaka – Cori GauffGauff (2-2) – H2H and prediction
Shuai ZhangZhang – Magdalena FrechFrech (1-1) – H2H and prediction
Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-3) – H2H and prediction