Lorenzo Musetti and Adrian Mannarino will square off in the quarter of the Chengdu Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 3:30 pm on COURT CENTER. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lorenzo Musetti who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Lorenzo Musetti is the pick to win this match.
Lorenzo Musetti -> 1.39
Adrian Mannarino -> 2.99

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Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Musetti vs. Adrian Mannarino

This will be the 2nd time that Lorenzo Musetti and Adrian Mannarino fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Mannarino (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they played, Mannarino won 6-4 6-4 in the 2nd round in Indian wells back in 2023.

Highlights Adrian Mannarino vs Lorenzo Musetti – Indian wells 11-March-2023

Lorenzo Musetti

Ranked no. 19, the Italian reached the quarter after beating Unknown Player bye and Christopher O Connell 6-7(5) 6-4 7-6(4).

In the 2nd round against O Connell, Musetti recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-75 6-4 7-64). During the match, Musetti and O Connell scored the same amount of points (105). However, the world no. 19 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Lorenzo was pretty aggressive to blast 61 winners.

Talking about the service games, Musetti recorded 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Lorenzo Musetti lost the serve 3 times. Furthermore, Musetti put 76% of his first serves in, winning 75% (61/81) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (11/26) on the 2nd serve. Lorenzo broke O Connell 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).

Musetti has a winning match record in the last 7 years having won 58% of his matches (215-155). 10-9 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Musetti has an overall47-43 match record in the last 7 years on hard.

The Italian’s best result of the season was reaching the final in the Cagliari Challenger,the Turin Challenger, London and Umag.

Musetti has an overall 41-24 win-loss record in 2024, 10-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Chengdu

Adrian Mannarino

Ranked no. 46, the French player got to the quarter after beating Terence Atmane 6-7(9) 6-1 6-3 and Yi Zhou 7-6(3) 2-6 6-4.

In the 2nd round, The French player defeated Zhou (7-63 2-6 6-4).During the match Mannarino scored less points (10) than Zhou. In fact, the world no. 19 won 96 points vs Zhou’s. That means that Mannarino was more focused during the important points. Adrian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 39 winners.

About the serving games, Mannarino scored 8 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Adrian Mannarino lost the serve 4 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Mannarino put 56% of his first serves in, winning 62% (39/63) of the points behind his 1st serve and 55% (27/49) on the 2nd serve. The French player broke Zhou 3 times after converting 25% of his break points (3/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Adrian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points he played.

Adrian’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Australia and Dallas.

The French player has a composed 13-26 win-loss record in 2024, 8-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Chengdu

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2016 and 2018. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points
Musetti
Mannarino

Match played
1
2

Tot Set
3
6

Tot Games
36
60

Pts
105-105
211-200

Total Points
210
411

Winners
61
90

%Winners
58%
43%

Musetti played 1 match while Mannarino competed in 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Lorenzo Musetti conceded 1 set, while Adrian Mannarino lost 2 sets. Musetti has played 3 set(s) less than Mannarino (3 vs 6). Therefore, Musetti played 24 games less than Mannarino. Musetti scored 61 winners (58% of the total points). On the other side, Mannarino fired 90 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve
Musetti
Mannarino

Aces
7
14

Avg per match
7
7

1st in
81/107
127/217

%1st in
76%
59%

1st pts
61/81
90/127

%1st pts
75%
71%

2nd pts
11/26
41/90

%2nd pts
42%
46%

Musetti blasted 7 aces . Mannarino blasted 14 aces (7 per match). Musetti won 75% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 42% of the points. On the other side, Mannarino won 71% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 46% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks
Musetti
Mannarino

Won
4
9

Converted
4/10
9/23

% Converted
40%
39%

Conceded
3
21

Saved
0
15

% Saved
0%
71%

Times Broken
3
6

Lorenzo broke his opponent 4 times with a 40% conversion rate. The Italian lost his serve 3 times and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded. The French player broke his opponents 9 times with a 39% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.

Musetti

R2
O
Total

Score
6-75 6-4 7-64

Tot Set
3
3

Tot Games
36
36

pts
105-105
105-105

Total points
210
210

Winners
61
61

%Winners
58%
58%

SERVE

Aces
7
7

Double Faults
2
2

1st in
81/107
81/107

% 1st in
76%
76%

1st pts
61/81
61/81

% 1st pts
75%
75%

2nd pts
11/26
11/26

% 2nd pts
42%
42%

Breaks

Won
4
4

Converted
4/10
4/10

Converted %
40%
40%

Conceded
3
3

Saved
0/3
0

Saved %
0%
0%

Times Broken
3
3

Mannarino

R1
Atmane
R2
Zhou
Total

Score
6-79 6-1 6-3
7-63 2-6 6-4

Tot Set
3
3
6

Tot Games
29
31
60

pts
115-94
96-106
211-200

Total points
209
202
411

Winners
51
39
90

%Winners
44%
41%
43%

SERVE

Aces
6
8
14

Double Faults
3
1
4

1st in
64/105
63/112
127/217

% 1st in
61%
56%
59%

1st pts
51/64
39/63
90/127

% 1st pts
80%
62%
71%

2nd pts
14/41
27/49
41/90

% 2nd pts
34%
55%
46%

Breaks

Won
6
3
9

Converted
6/11
3/12
9/23

Converted %
55%
25%
39%

Conceded
9
12
21

Saved
7/9
8/12
15

Saved %
78%
67%
145%

Times Broken
2
4
6

Tennis Scores in Chengdu

Yuki Bhambri/Albano OlivettiBhambri/Albano Olivetti – Gonzalo Escobar/Diego HidalgoEscobar/Diego Hidalgo (5-7 6-3 12-10) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

Yannick HanfmannHanfmann – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (2-1) – H2H and prediction
Nicolas JarryJarry – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
Roman SafiullinSafiullin – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (0-1) – H2H and prediction