Lorenzo Musetti and Jack Draper will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Erste Bank Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 3:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jack Draper who should win in 3 sets.

(image) As per the initial odds, Jack Draper is the pick to win this match.
Jack Draper -> 1.52
Lorenzo Musetti -> 2.53

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Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Musetti vs. Jack Draper

This will be the 3rd time that Lorenzo Musetti and Jack Draper square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Draper (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they locked horns, Draper won 7-5 6-2 in the 2nd round in Sofia back in 2023.

Lorenzo Musetti

Ranked no. 17, Lorenzo reached the semifinal after beating Lorenzo Sonego 6-3 6-2, Gael Monfils w/o and Alexander Zverev 2-6 7-6(5) 6-4.

In the quarter against Zverev, Lorenzo recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 7-65 6-4).During the match, Musetti scored less points (8) than Zverev. In fact, the world no. 17 won 96 points vs Zverev’s. That means that Musetti was more focused during the important points. Lorenzo was extremely aggressive to blast 46 winners.

Regarding the service games, Musetti fired 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Lorenzo Musetti lost the serve 4 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Musetti put 70% of his first serves in, winning 65% (46/71) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (14/30) on the 2nd serve. Lorenzo broke Zverev 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian has lost 1 set in this tournament to conquer 53% of the points he played.

Musetti has a winning match record in the last 7 years having won 58% of his matches (220-158). 3-2 on indoor hard courts in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Musetti has an overall33-36 record in the last 7 years on indoor hard courts.

The Italian’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in the Cagliari Challenger,the Turin Challenger, London, Umag and Chengdu.

Lorenzo has a compiled 46-27 win-loss record in 2024, 3-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Vienna

Jack Draper

Ranked no. 18 (career-high), Draper got to the semifinal after beating Kei Nishikori 7-6(5) 7-5, Luciano Darderi 7-5 6-1 and Tomas Machac 6-3 3-6 6-1.

In the quarter, The Brit defeated Machac (6-3 3-6 6-1). During the match Draper scored 98 points vs Machac’s 82. Draper was pretty aggressive to blast 48 winners.

Talking about serving, Draper made 11 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Jack Draper lost the serve once and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Draper put 69% of his first serves in, winning 79% (48/61) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (12/27) on the 2nd serve. Jack broke Machac 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Draper has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in Stuttgart where he beat Matteo Berrettini in the final 3-6 7-6(5) 6-4.

Draper has a composed 35-21 win-loss record in 2024, 3-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Vienna

Jack has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points
Musetti
Draper

Match played
2
3

Tot Set
5
7

Tot Games
48
69

Pts
158-141
245-200

Total Points
299
445

Winners
75
120

%Winners
47%
49%

Musetti played 2 matches while Draper competed in 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Lorenzo Musetti surrendered 1 set, while Jack Draper dropped 1 set. Musetti has played 2 set(s) less than Draper (5 vs 7). Therefore, Musetti played 21 games less than Draper. Musetti scored 75 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, The Brit scored 120 winners (49%).

Serve Performance

Serve
Musetti
Draper

Aces
4
37

Avg per match
2
12.3

1st in
106/144
143/205

%1st in
74%
70%

1st pts
75/106
120/143

%1st pts
71%
84%

2nd pts
21/38
28/62

%2nd pts
55%
45%

Musetti struck 4 aces (2 per match). Draper bagged 37 aces (12.3 per match). Musetti won 71% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Draper won 84% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 45% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks
Musetti
Draper

Won
6
9

Converted
6/18
9/22

% Converted
33%
41%

Conceded
12
10

Saved
8
8

% Saved
67%
80%

Times Broken
4
2

Lorenzo broke his opponents 6 times with a 33% conversion rate. Musetti surrendered his serve 4 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Brit broke his opponents 9 times with a 41% conversion rate. Jack conceded his serve twice and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.

Musetti

R1
Sonego
R2
Monfils
1/4
Zverev
Total

Score
6-3 6-2
w/o
2-6 7-65 6-4

Tot Set
2
–
3
5

Tot Games
17
–
31
48

pts
62-37
–
96-104
158-141

Total points
99
–
200
299

Winners
29
–
46
75

%Winners
47%
–
48%
47%

SERVE

Aces
2
–
2
4

Double Faults
0
–
1
1

1st in
35/43
–
71/101
106/144

% 1st in
81%
–
70%
74%

1st pts
29/35
–
46/71
75/106

% 1st pts
83%
–
65%
71%

2nd pts
7/8
–
14/30
21/38

% 2nd pts
88%
–
47%
55%

Breaks

Won
3
–
3
6

Converted
3/9
–
3/9
6/18

Converted %
33%
–
33%
33%

Conceded
0
–
12
12

Saved
0/0
–
8/12
8

Saved %
–
–
67%
22%

Times Broken
0
–
4
4

Draper

R1
Nishikori
R2
Darderi
1/4
Machac
Total

Score
7-65 7-5
7-5 6-1
6-3 3-6 6-1

Tot Set
2
2
3
7

Tot Games
25
19
25
69

pts
79-69
68-49
98-82
245-200

Total points
148
117
180
445

Winners
41
31
48
120

%Winners
52%
46%
49%
49%

SERVE

Aces
11
15
11
37

Double Faults
2
2
2
6

1st in
48/71
34/46
61/88
143/205

% 1st in
68%
74%
69%
70%

1st pts
41/48
31/34
48/61
120/143

% 1st pts
85%
91%
79%
84%

2nd pts
10/23
6/12
12/27
28/62

% 2nd pts
43%
50%
44%
45%

Breaks

Won
2
4
3
9

Converted
2/4
4/10
3/8
9/22

Converted %
50%
40%
38%
41%

Conceded
1
1
8
10

Saved
0/1
1/1
7/8
8

Saved %
0%
100%
88%
63%

Times Broken
1
0
1
2

Tennis Scores in Vienna

Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Alexander ZverevZverev (2-6 7-65 6-4) – See score progression
Jack DraperDraper – Tomas MachacMachac (6-3 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Jakub MensikMensik (6-72 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
Alexander Erler/Lucas MiedlerErler/Lucas Miedler – Luciano Darderi/Mariano NavoneDarderi/Mariano Navone (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
Maximo Gonzalez/Andres MolteniGonzalez/Andres Molteni – Nathaniel Lammons/Jack WithrowLammons/Jack Withrow (6-75 7-65 10-8) – See score progression
Neal Skupski/Michael VenusSkupski/Michael Venus – Rohan Bopanna/Matthew EbdenBopanna/Matthew Ebden (6-77 6-4 10-8) – See score progression
Harri Heliovaara/Henry PattenHeliovaara/Henry Patten – Lukas Klein/Jozef KovalikKlein/Jozef Kovalik (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Alexander ZverevZverev (2-6 7-6(5) 6-4) – See score progression
Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Jakub MensikMensik (6-7(2) 6-3 6-4) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (1-1) – H2H and prediction
Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Jack DraperDraper (0-2) – H2H and prediction