Ugo Humbert and Tomas Machac will play each other in the semifinal of the Japan Open Tennis Championships for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 6:00 pm on COLOSSEUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ugo Humbert who should win in 3 sets.

(image) As per the initial odds, Ugo Humbert is the pick to win this match.
Ugo Humbert -> 1.61
Tomas Machac -> 2.32

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Prediction and head to head Ugo Humbert vs. Tomas Machac

There is no head to head record between Ugo Humbert and Tomas Machac since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Ugo Humbert

Ranked no. 18, the French player reached the semifinal after defeating Shintaro Mochizuki 6-1 6-2, Brandon Nakashima 6-3 6-2 and Jack Draper 7-5 2-1 ret..

In the quarter against Draper, Humbert had a free pass after Draper retired on a 7-5 2-1 . scoreline.

Humbert has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (333-213). 16-7 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Humbert has a composed 139-73 match record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Marseille where he beat Grigor Dimitrov in the final 6-4 6-3 and in Dubai where he beat Alexander Bublik in the final 6-4 6-3.

The French player has an overall 31-20 win-loss record in 2024, 16-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Tokyo

The French player has never competed in this tournament before.

Tomas Machac

Ranked no. 34, Machac got to the semifinal after beating Alexei Popyrin 6-3 6-7(5) 7-5, Tommy Paul 2-6 6-3 7-6(4) and Alex Michelsen 7-6(2) 6-3.

In the quarter, Tomas had a good straight sets win against Michelsen (7-62 6-3). During the match Machac scored 77 points vs Michelsen’s 60. The Czech was quite aggressive to blast 38 winners.

Talking about serving, Machac scored 8 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Tomas Machac lost the serve once. Furthermore, Machac put 65% of his first serves in, winning 88% (38/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 39% (9/23) on the 2nd serve. The Czech broke Michelsen twice after converting 20% of his break points (2/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Tomas has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

Machac’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Geneva.

Machac has a compiled 30-19 win-loss record in 2024, 18-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points
Humbert
Machac

Match played
3
3

Tot Set
7
8

Tot Games
47
86

Pts
168-119
294-269

Total Points
287
563

Winners
70
142

%Winners
42%
48%

Both Humbert and Machac played 3 matches. At the moment, Tomas Machac dropped 2 sets while Ugo Humbert hasn’t dropped a set so far. Humbert has played 1 set(s) less than Machac (7 vs 8). Therefore, Humbert played 39 games less than Machac. Humbert scored 70 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Tomas managed to score 142 winners (48%).

Serve Performance

Serve
Humbert
Machac

Aces
13
22

Avg per match
4.3
7.3

1st in
91/139
182/285

%1st in
65%
64%

1st pts
70/91
142/182

%1st pts
77%
78%

2nd pts
30/48
53/103

%2nd pts
63%
51%

Humbert blasted 13 aces (4.3 per match). Machac fired 22 aces (7.3 per match). Humbert won 77% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Machac won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks
Humbert
Machac

Won
10
7

Converted
10/21
7/26

% Converted
48%
27%

Conceded
8
20

Saved
6
15

% Saved
75%
75%

Times Broken
2
5

Humbert broke his opponents 10 times with a 48% conversion rate. Ugo conceded his serve twice and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. The Czech broke his opponents 7 times with a 27% conversion rate. The Czech conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.

Humbert

R1
Mochizuki
R2
Nakashima
1/4
Draper
Total

Score
6-1 6-2
6-3 6-2
7-5 2-1 ret.

Tot Set
2
2
2
6

Tot Games
15
17
15
47

pts
61-42
58-34
49-43
168-119

Total points
103
92
92
287

Winners
21
31
18
70

%Winners
34%
53%
37%
42%

SERVE

Aces
2
7
4
13

Double Faults
1
0
0
1

1st in
28/48
35/48
28/43
91/139

% 1st in
58%
73%
65%
65%

1st pts
21/28
31/35
18/28
70/91

% 1st pts
75%
89%
64%
77%

2nd pts
12/20
8/13
10/15
30/48

% 2nd pts
60%
62%
67%
63%

Breaks

Won
4
3
3
10

Converted
4/8
3/5
3/8
10/21

Converted %
50%
60%
38%
48%

Conceded
2
3
3
8

Saved
2/2
3/3
1/3
6

Saved %
100%
100%
33%
78%

Times Broken
0
0
2
2

Machac

R1
Popyrin
R2
Paul
1/4
Michelsen
Total

Score
6-3 6-75 7-5
2-6 6-3 7-64
7-62 6-3

Tot Set
3
3
2
8

Tot Games
34
30
22
86

pts
114-99
103-110
77-60
294-269

Total points
213
213
137
563

Winners
60
44
38
142

%Winners
53%
43%
49%
48%

SERVE

Aces
10
4
8
22

Double Faults
1
3
3
7

1st in
71/101
68/118
43/66
182/285

% 1st in
70%
58%
65%
64%

1st pts
60/71
44/68
38/43
142/182

% 1st pts
85%
65%
88%
78%

2nd pts
18/30
26/50
9/23
53/103

% 2nd pts
60%
52%
39%
51%

Breaks

Won
2
3
2
7

Converted
2/6
3/10
2/10
7/26

Converted %
33%
30%
20%
27%

Conceded
4
15
1
20

Saved
4/4
11/15
0/1
15

Saved %
100%
73%
0%
58%

Times Broken
0
4
1
5

Tennis Scores in Tokyo

Ariel Behar/Robert GallowayBehar/Robert Galloway – Jack Draper/Tomas MachacDraper/Tomas Machac (w/o) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

Tomas MachacMachac – Ugo HumbertHumbert (0-0) – H2H and prediction